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SON

Sonoco ProductsB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Industrial volume and pricing, $285 million of Q3 operating cash flow, and debt reduction provide a path to recovery if cost actions convert to durable margin gains [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
What can break
Pricing recovery and productivity savings may not arrive quickly enough to restore margins.
Momentum
44
Value
62
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $52.00 · Bull $60.00 · Bear $42.00Analysis 2026-10-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $57.13
Why
Momentum44 · Δ7d -19.1
Value62 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +6.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Pricing recovery and productivity savings may not arrive quickly enough to restore margins.
  • • Raw-material, freight and energy inflation exceeded management expectations, while Q3 Consumer Packaging volume/mix fell 3% [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21].
  • • Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.67 missed the approximately $1.79 Street estimate reported by Investing.com; Consumer volume/mix fell 3%, price-cost pressure persisted, and 2026 earnings and cash-flow guidance were cut [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21].

Catalyst clock

2026-11-15

Post-earnings estimate and target revisions

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
44
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-19.1
Δ21d
+7.4
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
64
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.3
Δ21d
-7.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 43.6 / Value 62.1 / Sentiment 64.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$4.87B
Beta
0.53
Shares Out
98.88M
P/E (TTM)
45.1
P/S (TTM)
0.74
P/FCF (TTM)
49.51
Rev YoY
-1.2%
EPS YoY
-178.8%
Gross Margin
+20.9%
Op Margin
+10.0%
Net Debt
$4.27B
Current Ratio
0.99
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data