B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SOLV
SolventumBNYSE / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 print materially improved the operating narrative: organic growth accelerated across reportable segments, adjusted EPS rose 50.9%, and management raised FY2026 guidance. The intended HIS separation could further improve strategic focus.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
First-half 2026 free cash flow was negative $129 million despite positive Q2 free cash flow, so cash conversion remains a key monitoring item. [#IR-2026-08-05]
Momentum
68
Value
50
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $95.00 · Bull $105.00 · Bear $72.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $95.83
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d -1.5
Value50 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d +7.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • First-half 2026 free cash flow was negative $129 million despite positive Q2 free cash flow, so cash conversion remains a key monitoring item. [#IR-2026-08-05]
- • Gross-margin improvement benefited from an IEEPA tariff refund, which may not recur. [#IR-2026-08-05]
- • Durability is not yet proven because organic growth included advance orders ahead of ERP cutovers, gross-margin improvement benefited from an IEEPA tariff refund, and reported operating margin remained pressured by legal, separation, and restructuring costs.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-05
Q2 2026 results and FY2026 guidance increase
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
68
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
-14.3
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.5
Δ21d
-2.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 67.7 / Value 50.4 / Sentiment 68.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.78B
Beta
-
Shares Out
170.22M
P/E (TTM)
9.3
P/S (TTM)
1.67
P/FCF (TTM)
280.29
Rev YoY
+1.2%
EPS YoY
+3.3%
Gross Margin
+55.2%
Op Margin
+8.5%
Net Debt
$4.37B
Current Ratio
1.02
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data