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SNPS

SynopsysB
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q3 result exceeded the high end of prior guidance, with broad-based strength, AI-linked demand, Ansys contribution, and raised FY2026 targets. The September Investor Day could improve long-term visibility.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -25.5.
What can break
Ansys integration, margin expansion, and cash-flow execution remain important to sustaining the thesis.
Momentum
17
Value
53
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $440.00 · Bull $510.00 · Bear $330.00Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $554.08
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d -7.2
Value53 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment74 · Δ7d -25.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -25.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Ansys integration, margin expansion, and cash-flow execution remain important to sustaining the thesis.
  • • Export-control or Entity List changes could invalidate current guidance assumptions. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-26]
  • • The shares remain vulnerable to multiple compression if AI demand, Ansys synergies, Design IP growth, or margin expansion fail to support elevated expectations.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

September 30, 2026 Investor Day

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
17
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-7.2
Δ21d
+7.2
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-25.5
Δ21d
-6.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 16.7 / Value 53.4 / Sentiment 73.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$510.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$440.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$330.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$79.12B
Beta
1.12
Shares Out
191.48M
P/E (TTM)
61.7
P/S (TTM)
13.40
P/FCF (TTM)
81.49
Rev YoY
+41.9%
EPS YoY
-96.0%
Gross Margin
+64.9%
Op Margin
+12.0%
Net Debt
$11.33B
Current Ratio
1.43
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data