B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$285.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SNOW
SnowflakeDNYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Primary evidence supports a constructive thesis: the Q1 FY2027 release showed reaccelerating product revenue growth, rising large-customer counts, strong RPO growth, and explicit management commentary that AI products and core-platform demand supported a full-year guidance raise [#SEC-8K-2026-05-27].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
AI adoption metrics may not convert cleanly into incremental paid workloads or durable margin leverage.
Momentum
88
Value
40
Sentiment
33
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $250.00 · Bull $285.00 · Bear $195.00Analysis 2026-06-12; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $438.10
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d +0.7
Value40 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment33 · Δ7d -0.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • AI adoption metrics may not convert cleanly into incremental paid workloads or durable margin leverage.
- • High post-earnings expectations after a sharp rally raise the bar for the next quarter.
- • The stock has already reacted sharply to the print, and the packet's median analyst target of about $244.09 sits only modestly above the June 11, 2026 anchor price of $240.39, implying that much of the near-term earnings reset may already be reflected unless follow-through execution remains strong.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-26
Q1 FY2027 beat and raised outlook reset near-term expectations
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
88
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
-8.8
Value
40
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
33
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.8
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 88.4 / Value 40.2 / Sentiment 33.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-12. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$250.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$114.42B
Beta
1.14
Shares Out
346.6M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-83.7
P/S (TTM)
17.50
P/FCF (TTM)
99.79
Rev YoY
+33.5%
EPS YoY
-33.8%
Gross Margin
+66.1%
Op Margin
-25.6%
Net Debt
-$1.29B
Current Ratio
1.00
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data