B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SNDR
Schneider NationalDNYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The best post-print argument is that Q1 weakness did not force a guidance cut. Management kept full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance at $0.70-$1.00, cited cost and productivity actions, and pointed to structural supply rationalization, rate recovery, and spot-exposure leverage as potential benefits if freight conditions normalize [#PR-2026-04-30].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.0.
What can break
Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance remains wide at $0.70-$1.00, signaling limited forward visibility despite management's constructive cycle commentary [#PR-2026-04-30].
Momentum
46
Value
55
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $30.00 · Bull $35.00 · Bear $24.00Analysis 2026-05-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-18
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-18. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $37.50
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d +4.4
Value55 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment50 · Δ7d +5.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance remains wide at $0.70-$1.00, signaling limited forward visibility despite management's constructive cycle commentary [#PR-2026-04-30].
- • Intermodal revenue per order fell 4% year over year due to shorter length of haul, while segment operating ratio worsened to 95.7% from 94.7% [#PR-2026-04-30].
- • The bear case remains concrete: operating income fell 21% year over year, adjusted EPS declined 25%, Truckload and Intermodal operating ratios worsened, and Logistics revenue declined.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-03
Post-Q1 earnings reset is mixed but guidance held
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
46
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+4.4
Δ21d
-16.5
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
50
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.0
Δ21d
+8.2
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 46.0 / Value 54.7 / Sentiment 49.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.38B
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
175.3M
P/E (TTM)
43.2
P/S (TTM)
0.88
P/FCF (TTM)
104.84
Rev YoY
+10.4%
EPS YoY
+37.8%
Gross Margin
+5.2%
Op Margin
+3.1%
Net Debt
$253.5M
Current Ratio
2.03
As of 2026-09-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data