B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$1.65
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SNDL
SNDLDNasdaq / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
SNDL combines no debt, substantial liquidity, active buybacks, and a potentially meaningful Parallel transition into U.S. medical cannabis operations.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Continued liquor demand weakness and declining same-store sales.
Momentum
99
Value
66
Sentiment
38
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.15 · Bull $1.65 · Bear $0.75Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $3.58
Why
Momentum99 · Δ7d -
Value66 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment38 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Continued liquor demand weakness and declining same-store sales.
- • Coverage is thin, direct peer evidence is limited, and analyst-count, revision, options, social, and insider-activity evidence is unavailable in the packet.
- • The Q2 print showed worsening profitability: revenue declined, gross margin compressed, operating losses returned, and Cannabis Operations was impaired by Jeeter ramp-up inefficiencies.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-28
Q2 2026 earnings reset the near-term thesis
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
99
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.4
Sentiment
38
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 99.0 / Value 65.9 / Sentiment 38.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$1.15
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$0.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$305.41M
Beta
0.82
Shares Out
248.3M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-28.1
P/S (TTM)
0.64
P/FCF (TTM)
10.53
Rev YoY
-3.7%
EPS YoY
-371.6%
Gross Margin
+20.7%
Op Margin
-1.7%
Net Debt
-$75.11M
Current Ratio
4.76
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data