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SNAL

SnailB
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 release supports a constructive operating narrative: ASA remained active, ARK Mobile reached 13.2 million downloads, Bellwright expanded to consoles, and the company reiterated a substantial ARK and AAA pipeline. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
ARK concentration and softer Q2 ASA metrics versus Q1 increase execution and demand risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11] [#SEC-8K-2026-05-13]
Momentum
90
Value
50
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.75 · Bull $5.00 · Bear $1.20Analysis 2026-08-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $17.50
Why
Momentum90 · Δ7d -
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • ARK concentration and softer Q2 ASA metrics versus Q1 increase execution and demand risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11] [#SEC-8K-2026-05-13]
  • • Nasdaq listing or delisting outcome could materially impair liquidity and valuation. [#8-K-2026-07-02]
  • • The quarter was described as measured, ASA units and average DAU were below the Q1 figures in the packet, and the thesis remains highly dependent on ARK execution.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-13

Nasdaq listing outcome remains the key downside swing factor

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
90
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.8
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 90.0 / Value 49.6 / Sentiment 68.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$5.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$2.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$27.24M
Beta
-
Shares Out
8.73M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.9
P/S (TTM)
0.39
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
2.80
Rev YoY
-11.3%
EPS YoY
-84.0%
Gross Margin
+33.6%
Op Margin
-12.4%
Net Debt
$10.42M
Current Ratio
0.55
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data