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SLVM

SylvamoC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Price increases, lean savings and Eastover capacity could lift earnings and cash generation after a difficult transition year. Management described potential annual free cash flow above $300 million only after industry conditions improve, capital spending normalizes and investment benefits materialize—not as current guidance.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Eastover project delays, startup problems or weak demand could defer the return on added capacity. SEC earnings release
Momentum
32
Value
56
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $29.50 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $22.00Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $45.50
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d -3.9
Value56 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -0.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Eastover project delays, startup problems or weak demand could defer the return on added capacity. SEC earnings release
  • • Management cited higher North American imports and expected energy, chemical and transportation cost pressure. SEC earnings release
  • • The sequential EBITDA rebound masks weaker year-over-year EBITDA ($60 million versus $82 million), a Q2 net loss, negative free cash flow and losses in Europe and Latin America.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-30

Second-half price realization and cash-flow test

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
32
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-3.9
Δ21d
-6.6
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
-2.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 31.7 / Value 56.4 / Sentiment 55.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$29.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$1.29B
Beta
0.83
Shares Out
39.76M
P/E (TTM)
11.0
P/S (TTM)
0.55
P/FCF (TTM)
7.16
Rev YoY
+1.5%
EPS YoY
-175.7%
Gross Margin
+15.2%
Op Margin
+5.8%
Net Debt
$773M
Current Ratio
1.47
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data