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SKYW

SkyWestA
Nasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Revenue growth, higher block-hour production, contracted E175 expansion, and the expanded buyback support a constructive medium-term thesis. The company reported $139 million of Q2 pre-tax income and reduced total debt to $2.3 billion [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.3.
What can break
Contracted flying agreements could be reduced or repriced on less favorable terms.
Momentum
32
Value
67
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $105.00 · Bull $126.50 · Bear $80.00Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $126.50
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d -9.7
Value67 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d -3.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Contracted flying agreements could be reduced or repriced on less favorable terms.
  • • Execution, financing, and delivery risk around the planned E175 fleet expansion.
  • • The Q2 net-income decline, fuel-cost sensitivity, aircraft-investment execution, contract repricing risk, and clustered insider sales temper the upside case.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-23

Q2 profitability and operating momentum

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
32
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-9.7
Δ21d
-56.3
Value
67
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
+4.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 31.6 / Value 66.6 / Sentiment 75.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$126.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.1B
Beta
1.66
Shares Out
38.83M
P/E (TTM)
9.9
P/S (TTM)
1.04
P/FCF (TTM)
12.78
Rev YoY
+6.5%
EPS YoY
-12.6%
Gross Margin
+22.1%
Op Margin
+14.0%
Net Debt
$1.77B
Current Ratio
0.57
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data