RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

SKYW

SkyWestA
Nasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Higher block-hour production, contracted E175 additions and repurchases could lift earnings and per-share value if fleet deployment earns adequate returns [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
Cash and marketable securities fell to $601 million at June 30 from $707 million at year-end 2025; debt was $2.3 billion [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
Momentum
43
Value
67
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $97.00 · Bull $115.00 · Bear $73.00Analysis 2026-10-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $125.33
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d +4.7
Value67 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -8.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cash and marketable securities fell to $601 million at June 30 from $707 million at year-end 2025; debt was $2.3 billion [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
  • • Fleet purchases require capital before delivery, utilization and investment returns are proven [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
  • • Q2 revenue rose 7% year over year while EPS declined, illustrating that fuel and operating costs can offset utilization gains.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

October 29 Q3 results: utilization versus cost pressure

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
43
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.7
Δ21d
-11.1
Value
67
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.7
Δ21d
-17.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 43.5 / Value 66.8 / Sentiment 58.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$115.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$97.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$73.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.61B
Beta
1.66
Shares Out
38.83M
P/E (TTM)
9.9
P/S (TTM)
1.04
P/FCF (TTM)
12.78
Rev YoY
+6.5%
EPS YoY
-12.6%
Gross Margin
+22.1%
Op Margin
+14.0%
Net Debt
$1.77B
Current Ratio
0.57
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data