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SKYQ

Sky QuarryD
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Debt obligations were formally extinguished and replaced with a defined note, potentially reducing MCA-related uncertainty. Upside still requires evidence that the company can meet escalating payments and improve operations.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.5.
What can break
Default could accelerate the full unpaid balance, with existing liens and collateral rights remaining in force. [#8-K-2026-07-02]
Momentum
2
Value
33
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $3.00 · Bull $4.40 · Bear $2.30Analysis 2026-07-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum2 · Δ7d -96.6
Value33 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +14.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Default could accelerate the full unpaid balance, with existing liens and collateral rights remaining in force. [#8-K-2026-07-02]
  • • Escalating weekly repayment obligations and 8% interest may pressure liquidity. [#8-K-2026-07-02]
  • • The financing remains a substantial burden relative to the approximately $16.8 million market capitalization, with liens, asset restrictions, default acceleration, and a personal guarantee.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-02

MCA obligations converted into 8% promissory note

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
2
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-96.6
Δ21d
-96.6
Value
33
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-10.2
Sentiment
61
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.5
Δ21d
+14.5
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 2.1 / Value 32.7 / Sentiment 60.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$4.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B
Base case
40%
Probability
Target price
$3.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B-
Bear case
45%
Probability
Target price
$2.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$24.12M
Beta
-
Shares Out
8.83M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.6
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-1.33
Rev YoY
-100.0%
EPS YoY
-5.8%
Gross Margin
-210.8%
Op Margin
-132.9%
Net Debt
$11.35M
Current Ratio
0.74
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data