B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$480.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
SITM
SiTimeFNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case assumes continued design-win momentum for SiTime's MEMS timing portfolio, expanding content per system and sustained end-market demand; that would justify a premium multiple on revenue growth.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.0.
What can break
Bear case centers on cyclical semiconductor weakness, lost design wins or supply disruptions that compress margins and force multiple contraction.
Momentum
74
Value
44
Sentiment
26
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $346.50 · Bull $480.00 · Bear $240.00Analysis 2025-12-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-12-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $862.78
Why
Momentum74 · Δ7d -0.5
Value44 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment26 · Δ7d -5.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Bear case centers on cyclical semiconductor weakness, lost design wins or supply disruptions that compress margins and force multiple contraction.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Next quarterly earnings release / guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
74
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+8.7
Value
44
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.0
Sentiment
26
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.0
Δ21d
+12.5
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 74.1 / Value 44.2 / Sentiment 26.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-12-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$346.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$240.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$22.54B
Beta
2.51
Shares Out
30.07M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-436.1
P/S (TTM)
30.88
P/FCF (TTM)
447.30
Rev YoY
+126.5%
EPS YoY
-178.3%
Gross Margin
+58.7%
Op Margin
+0.2%
Net Debt
-$804.8M
Current Ratio
19.45
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data