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SiteOne Landscape SupplyC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 sales and adjusted EBITDA each grew 5%, gross margin expanded, and acquisitions contributed 3% to sales growth. Delivery against the maintained 2026 outlook despite weak end markets could warrant a higher price.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
What can break
Acquisition integration and the approximately $4 million–$5 million adjusted-EBITDA headwind from the extra fiscal week add execution risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] Company release.
Momentum
61
Value
59
Sentiment
42
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $92.00 · Bull $112.00 · Bear $67.00Analysis 2026-10-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $119.25
Why
Momentum61 · Δ7d +10.3
Value59 · Δ7d -1.8
Sentiment42 · Δ7d -8.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition integration and the approximately $4 million–$5 million adjusted-EBITDA headwind from the extra fiscal week add execution risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] Company release.
  • • Freight, distribution and fuel costs, commodity deflation, and limited organic volume growth could pressure margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] Company release.
  • • Q2 organic daily sales rose only 1% and relied partly on pricing while new residential construction and repair-and-upgrade demand remained soft.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · BMO

October 28 third-quarter results

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
61
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+10.3
Δ21d
+12.5
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-3.3
Sentiment
42
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.2
Δ21d
-31.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 61.2 / Value 59.4 / Sentiment 42.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$92.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$67.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$4.5B
Beta
1.59
Shares Out
43.66M
P/E (TTM)
42.7
P/S (TTM)
1.26
P/FCF (TTM)
28.66
Rev YoY
+4.7%
EPS YoY
+9.8%
Gross Margin
+32.1%
Op Margin
+4.9%
Net Debt
$789.4M
Current Ratio
2.30
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data