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SILC

SilicomD
Nasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary sources support a real operating improvement: Q1 growth accelerated, Q2 guidance implies further YoY acceleration, and management tied the setup to multiple recent design wins plus AI-inference activity.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.7.
What can break
Customer concentration remains meaningful; the top three ultimate customers accounted for about 28% of 2025 revenue, and the company expects a small number of customers to remain significant. [#20F-2026-04-28]
Momentum
95
Value
34
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $40.00 · Bull $52.00 · Bear $28.00Analysis 2026-05-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $60.00
Why
Momentum95 · Δ7d +1.1
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -3.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Customer concentration remains meaningful; the top three ultimate customers accounted for about 28% of 2025 revenue, and the company expects a small number of customers to remain significant. [#20F-2026-04-28]
  • Peer set and external analyst coverage are thin, limiting independent confirmation of management's longer-range 2026-2027 growth narrative.
  • Evidence quality remains low outside company disclosures.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q1 beat and higher near-term revenue outlook [#PR-2026-04-30]

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
95
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
+4.4
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
48
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.7
Δ21d
+8.5
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 95.1 / Value 34.3 / Sentiment 47.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$277.6M
Beta
1.05
Shares Out
5.71M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-24.2
P/S (TTM)
1.45
P/FCF (TTM)
5.06
Rev YoY
+58.5%
EPS YoY
-37.8%
Gross Margin
+30.2%
Op Margin
-14.2%
Net Debt
-$41.84M
Current Ratio
3.06
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data