B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$2.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SIDU
Sidus SpaceBNasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The June cash balance provides funding to pursue LizzieSat and Fortis commercialization; successful contract conversion and launch execution could improve revenue visibility. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-14]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
LizzieSat-5's mission moved later; the April 2027 Bandwagon-6 target depends on qualification, integration and mission readiness. [#PR-2026-09-28]
Momentum
96
Value
55
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.20 · Bull $2.00 · Bear $0.55Analysis 2026-10-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.00
Why
Momentum96 · Δ7d -
Value55 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • LizzieSat-5's mission moved later; the April 2027 Bandwagon-6 target depends on qualification, integration and mission readiness. [#PR-2026-09-28]
- • Low Q2 revenue and an adjusted EBITDA loss make contract timing and cash consumption consequential. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-14]
- • Q2 revenue was only $583,000 against a $5.1 million adjusted EBITDA loss, launch timing moved later, and the October director resignations add governance uncertainty.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-30
Revenue conversion and cash use at the next results
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
96
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+20.8
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 96.2 / Value 55.0 / Sentiment 52.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$1.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$0.55
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$117.42M
Beta
-1.65
Shares Out
101.23M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.0
P/S (TTM)
71.34
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-1.64
Rev YoY
-53.8%
EPS YoY
-81.7%
Gross Margin
-170.0%
Op Margin
-982.7%
Net Debt
-$34.23M
Current Ratio
33.30
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data