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SID

Companhia Siderurgica NacionalD
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Diversified cement and logistics operations partially offset weaker steel and mining conditions. Official 1Q26 materials support improved EBITDA, lower leverage, record mining production, and potential upside from steel pricing and asset-sale execution [#IR-1Q26-2026-05-13].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Debt refinancing, bridge-loan management, and cement-divestiture execution remain uncertain.
Momentum
100
Value
55
Sentiment
35
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.85 · Bull $1.30 · Bear $0.62Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $1.45
Why
Momentum100 · Δ7d -
Value55 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment35 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Debt refinancing, bridge-loan management, and cement-divestiture execution remain uncertain.
  • • Negative free cash flow and net leverage of 3.36x constrain financial flexibility.
  • • The company remains highly leveraged with negative free cash flow and exposure to imported steel, weaker demand, seasonality, weather, raw-material costs, and refinancing or divestiture execution risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-12

2Q26 results are the next key checkpoint

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
100
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
35
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 99.9 / Value 55.2 / Sentiment 35.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$1.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$0.85
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.62
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.16B
Beta
1.39
Shares Out
1.33B
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-3.2
P/S (TTM)
0.26
P/FCF (TTM)
19.33
Rev YoY
+18.6%
EPS YoY
+436.2%
Gross Margin
+27.2%
Op Margin
+9.9%
Net Debt
$7.11B
Current Ratio
1.15
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data