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SHW

Sherwin-WilliamsB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 result combined sales growth, adjusted EPS growth, margin expansion, higher cash generation, shareholder returns, and raised FY2026 guidance. Pricing, account wins, and share-of-wallet gains provide support even without a broad demand recovery.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.0.
What can break
Demand remains soft across many end markets.
Momentum
26
Value
51
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $390.63 · Bull $425.00 · Bear $300.00Analysis 2026-07-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $393.43
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d -16.1
Value51 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +9.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Demand remains soft across many end markets.
  • • Pricing actions could reduce volume or customer demand if elasticity is higher than expected.
  • • The company explicitly cited no meaningful demand improvement and ongoing global uncertainty.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-28

Q2 beat and raised FY2026 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
26
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-16.1
Δ21d
-45.0
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.0
Δ21d
+10.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 25.6 / Value 50.6 / Sentiment 77.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-31. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$425.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$390.63
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$84.96B
Beta
1.25
Shares Out
242.76M
P/E (TTM)
32.4
P/S (TTM)
3.54
P/FCF (TTM)
49.83
Rev YoY
+7.5%
EPS YoY
+14.2%
Gross Margin
+48.3%
Op Margin
+16.5%
Net Debt
$13.74B
Current Ratio
0.73
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data