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SHOE

Shoe Station GroupC
Nasdaq / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The company remains debt-free, held $129.3 million of cash and marketable securities at Q1 quarter-end, repurchased approximately $7 million of stock, and reaffirmed FY2026 guidance [#SEC-8K-2026-05-21]. Longer-term upside depends on Shoe Station growth and successful inventory normalization.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Comparable-store sales and Shoe Station banner performance remain negative in the latest reported quarter [#SEC-8K-2026-05-21].
Momentum
22
Value
67
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $14.50 · Bull $19.00 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-09-10 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $19.00
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d -12.1
Value67 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment64 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-09-10 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Comparable-store sales and Shoe Station banner performance remain negative in the latest reported quarter [#SEC-8K-2026-05-21].
  • • Execution risk remains elevated during the CEO transition and strategic reset.
  • • The operating trend remains soft, with declining comparable sales, lower gross margin, Shoe Station banner sales pressure, CEO-transition and strategic-review charges, and planned closures of underperforming stores [#SEC-8K-2026-05-21].

Catalyst clock

2026-09-10 · BMO

Q2 FY2026 earnings release

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
22
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.1
Δ21d
-14.4
Value
67
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-2.6
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 21.6 / Value 66.5 / Sentiment 63.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$420.85M
Beta
1.35
Shares Out
27.15M
P/E (TTM)
8.4
P/S (TTM)
0.42
P/FCF (TTM)
25.69
Rev YoY
-2.5%
EPS YoY
-160.4%
Gross Margin
+36.3%
Op Margin
+4.3%
Net Debt
$240.7M
Current Ratio
4.02
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data