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SHLS

Shoals GroupC
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record backlog, strong utility-scale solar demand, and Q2 revenue growth provide a credible path to continued expansion if backlog converts cleanly and facility productivity improves.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.5.
What can break
Backlog may convert more slowly than expected or with weaker profitability.
Momentum
68
Value
44
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.00 · Bull $10.40 · Bear $5.60Analysis 2026-09-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $11.26
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d -7.5
Value44 · Δ7d -1.0
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -5.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Backlog may convert more slowly than expected or with weaker profitability.
  • • Execution and productivity improvements at the consolidated facility remain unproven.
  • • The negative market reaction, lower gross margin, quality-related costs, and uncertain pace of productivity gains raise execution risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-28

Q3 execution and outlook validation

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
68
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.5
Δ21d
+21.4
Value
44
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.5
Δ21d
+1.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 68.4 / Value 44.0 / Sentiment 61.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.28B
Beta
1.70
Shares Out
168.3M
P/E (TTM)
44.9
P/S (TTM)
3.43
P/FCF (TTM)
192.46
Rev YoY
+47.4%
EPS YoY
-13.7%
Gross Margin
+30.2%
Op Margin
+10.6%
Net Debt
$171.31M
Current Ratio
2.25
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data