B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SGI
Somnigroup InternationalCNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q1 showed strong adjusted earnings growth, cash generation, and reaffirmed guidance [#SEC-8K-2026-05-07]. A solid Q2 print and continued Mattress Firm integration could support a move toward the low-$80s.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.1.
What can break
Analyst target coverage and post-earnings revision data are unavailable.
Momentum
36
Value
48
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $72.00 · Bull $82.00 · Bear $55.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $92.33
Why
Momentum36 · Δ7d -2.9
Value48 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -2.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst target coverage and post-earnings revision data are unavailable.
- • Consumer demand and retail traffic may remain muted.
- • Muted market conditions, execution risk around the acquired Mattress Firm business, and leverage-sensitive financing create downside if demand, margins, or guidance weaken at the Q2 report.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-06
Second-quarter earnings on August 6
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
36
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.9
Δ21d
-12.6
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
66
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.1
Δ21d
-14.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 36.2 / Value 48.5 / Sentiment 65.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$14.89B
Beta
1.31
Shares Out
230.24M
P/E (TTM)
58.5
P/S (TTM)
2.76
P/FCF (TTM)
32.36
Rev YoY
-3.0%
EPS YoY
+12.0%
Gross Margin
+44.6%
Op Margin
+13.5%
Net Debt
$6.54B
Current Ratio
0.75
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data