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SGHC

Super Group (SGHC)B
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 delivered record revenue, EBITDA, margin, deposits, wagering, and customer activity, while management raised full-year guidance. The stronger cash position and continued international iGaming growth support a constructive medium-term case [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-04].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Analyst target count and post-print estimate revisions are unavailable, while the peer set is loose.
Momentum
55
Value
56
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $14.50 · Bull $19.50 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $19.50
Why
Momentum55 · Δ7d +8.0
Value56 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment69 · Δ7d +1.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target count and post-print estimate revisions are unavailable, while the peer set is loose.
  • • Forward visibility beyond raised FY2026 guidance remains limited.
  • • The negative post-print price reaction suggests expectations were elevated despite the beat and guidance raise.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-05

Q2 beat and FY2026 guidance raise

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
55
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.0
Δ21d
+30.9
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+2.8
Sentiment
69
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
-9.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 54.5 / Value 55.7 / Sentiment 68.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.62B
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
508.1M
P/E (TTM)
27.5
P/S (TTM)
2.75
P/FCF (TTM)
38.21
Rev YoY
+18.1%
EPS YoY
-3052.5%
Gross Margin
+28.8%
Op Margin
+21.3%
Net Debt
-$438M
Current Ratio
1.83
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data