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SG

SweetgreenD
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Wraps, stronger transactions, improved execution, higher digital mix, and lower corporate expense could enable a gradual recovery. The $5.40 anchor is below the supplied $6.7333 median analyst target, implying upside if the turnaround stabilizes.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.6.
What can break
Cyclospora-related demand disruption may last longer than expected.
Momentum
46
Value
32
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.00 · Bull $8.00 · Bear $3.80Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.92
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d +15.5
Value32 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment46 · Δ7d -2.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cyclospora-related demand disruption may last longer than expected.
  • • Low analyst coverage and a loose peer set reduce confidence in valuation signals.
  • • Same-store sales remain negative, traffic and mix both declined, restaurant-level profitability deteriorated, adjusted EBITDA turned negative, and FY26 guidance was cut because of demand disruption and uncertain recovery timing.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q2 earnings confirmed a mixed recovery and reset FY26 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
46
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.5
Δ21d
+41.0
Value
32
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
46
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.6
Δ21d
-18.4
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 45.9 / Value 32.2 / Sentiment 45.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$3.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$699.96M
Beta
1.93
Shares Out
119.04M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-5.2
P/S (TTM)
1.20
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-6.01
Rev YoY
+3.8%
EPS YoY
+12.4%
Gross Margin
+0.9%
Op Margin
-17.9%
Net Debt
$265.32M
Current Ratio
1.43
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data