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SEVN

Seven Hills Realty TrustB
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Recent originations, reduced office exposure and capital released from lower-margin repayments could improve earnings and eventually cover the distribution. The fourth-quarter diligence pipeline is a potential upside source, not committed production.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27 · AMC.
What can break
Further commercial-real-estate credit deterioration could offset the benefit of reduced office exposure; the Dallas office-loan repayment required a $1.5 million discount. [#8-K-2026-10-05]
Momentum
25
Value
72
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.70 · Bull $7.20 · Bear $4.30Analysis 2026-10-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-27 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.55
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d -13.5
Value72 · Δ7d +10.2
Sentiment49 · Δ7d -36.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Further commercial-real-estate credit deterioration could offset the benefit of reduced office exposure; the Dallas office-loan repayment required a $1.5 million discount. [#8-K-2026-10-05]
  • • The $0.28 quarterly distribution exceeded second-quarter Distributable Earnings of $0.23 per share; future distributions remain discretionary. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-10-08]
  • • Second-quarter Distributable Earnings of $0.23 per share did not cover the $0.28 distribution.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-27 · AMC

Third-quarter results test dividend coverage

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
25
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.5
Δ21d
-17.9
Value
72
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.2
Δ21d
+10.3
Sentiment
49
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-36.9
Δ21d
-41.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 25.3 / Value 72.1 / Sentiment 49.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$140.36M
Beta
0.50
Shares Out
22.66M
P/E (TTM)
8.6
P/S (TTM)
3.14
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-23.03
Rev YoY
+2.5%
EPS YoY
-123.4%
Gross Margin
+82.1%
Op Margin
+68.0%
Net Debt
$364.19M
Current Ratio
0.29
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data