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SEVN

Seven Hills Realty TrustB
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 showed continued capital deployment, substantial liquidity, a fully performing loan portfolio, no realized losses, and reduced office exposure. Successful pipeline conversion and management's plan to achieve dividend coverage by year-end could support re-rating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.4.
What can break
An active lending pipeline may not convert into funded loans on the expected timetable.
Momentum
23
Value
62
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.20 · Bull $10.50 · Bear $6.10Analysis 2026-07-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.44
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d +0.3
Value62 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment70 · Δ7d +7.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • An active lending pipeline may not convert into funded loans on the expected timetable.
  • • Commercial real-estate credit and remaining office exposure could produce future losses even though the portfolio is currently fully performing and has no realized losses to date.
  • • Quarterly distributable earnings of $0.23 per share were below the $0.28 quarterly distribution, so dividend coverage remains a forward objective rather than an achieved condition.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-13

Quarterly dividend payment

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
23
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-1.1
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.4
Δ21d
+5.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 22.9 / Value 61.9 / Sentiment 69.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-31. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$8.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$6.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$173.32M
Beta
0.50
Shares Out
22.66M
P/E (TTM)
8.6
P/S (TTM)
3.14
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-28.44
Rev YoY
+2.5%
EPS YoY
-123.4%
Gross Margin
+82.1%
Op Margin
+68.0%
Net Debt
$364.19M
Current Ratio
0.29
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data