B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$175.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SE
SeaANYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Shopee-led revenue momentum and broad growth across Sea's ecosystem could sustain positive revisions, while prior company commentary indicates investment-led unit-economics improvement. A Morgan Stanley headline described spending as building earnings power, but detailed estimate or target revisions are unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Pre-earnings Zacks context also flagged higher credit-loss provisions as a risk as Monee expands lending.
Momentum
83
Value
51
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $150.00 · Bull $175.00 · Bear $95.00Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $159.08
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d -6.3
Value51 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +7.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Pre-earnings Zacks context also flagged higher credit-loss provisions as a risk as Monee expands lending.
- • Pre-earnings Zacks context flagged margin pressure from logistics, fulfillment, ShopeeVIP, AI, and user-acquisition investments.
- • The Q2 signal is mixed: revenue-beat headlines were paired with an EPS miss, suggesting that investment intensity, operating costs, or credit provisions may still be limiting earnings conversion.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-11
Mixed Q2 2026 post-earnings signal
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
83
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.3
Δ21d
-1.1
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.1
Δ21d
+5.9
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 82.8 / Value 50.7 / Sentiment 75.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$73.16B
Beta
1.60
Shares Out
566.96M
P/E (TTM)
62.4
P/S (TTM)
3.93
P/FCF (TTM)
18.11
Rev YoY
+48.1%
EPS YoY
+5.0%
Gross Margin
+44.3%
Op Margin
+7.9%
Net Debt
-$9.41B
Current Ratio
1.49
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data