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SDRL

SeadrillB
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The company delivered a strong Q2, raised guidance for the second time in 2026, added backlog, and is transitioning rigs to higher day rates. Management commentary also points to improving deepwater utilization and contracting conditions.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.5.
What can break
Contract timing, utilization, day rates, mobilization receipts, and working-capital collection remain important execution variables.
Momentum
76
Value
45
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $55.08 · Bull $62.00 · Bear $40.00Analysis 2026-08-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $55.58
Why
Momentum76 · Δ7d +13.4
Value45 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d +9.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Contract timing, utilization, day rates, mobilization receipts, and working-capital collection remain important execution variables.
  • • Higher repair and maintenance spending is expected in the second half, creating margin and cash-flow risk.
  • • The initial earnings reaction was positive, but Seadrill still has uneven forward visibility for some rigs, higher second-half repair and maintenance costs, and a $390 million net debt position.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-10

Q2 earnings beat and raised 2026 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
76
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.4
Δ21d
+13.7
Value
45
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+3.3
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.5
Δ21d
-3.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 76.0 / Value 45.2 / Sentiment 75.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$55.08
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.92B
Beta
1.97
Shares Out
62.54M
P/E (TTM)
67.6
P/S (TTM)
1.56
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-22.01
Rev YoY
+19.1%
EPS YoY
-169.0%
Gross Margin
+16.4%
Op Margin
+9.3%
Net Debt
$268M
Current Ratio
2.28
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data