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SCWO

374WaterF
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes successful commercial rollouts, visible recurring revenue and meaningful margin expansion from scale; market re-rates shares toward growth peers.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Bear case centers on continued cash burn, inability to convert pilots into commercial contracts, and dilution from equity raises that materially depress per-share value.
Momentum
23
Value
34
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.35 · Bull $0.70 · Bear $0.14Analysis 2025-11-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-11-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d -
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Bear case centers on continued cash burn, inability to convert pilots into commercial contracts, and dilution from equity raises that materially depress per-share value.
  • • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.

Catalyst clock

No dated catalyst is available.

Quarterly SEC filing (10-Q/10-K)

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
23
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 22.8 / Value 34.2 / Sentiment 0.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-11-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$0.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$0.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.14
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$43.59M
Beta
-0.12
Shares Out
17.72M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.8
P/S (TTM)
22.15
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-2.49
Rev YoY
+280.2%
EPS YoY
-51.5%
Gross Margin
-432.9%
Op Margin
-922.6%
Net Debt
-$1.81M
Current Ratio
1.67
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data