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SCHL

ScholasticB
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Balance-sheet optionality improved materially after the real-estate sale-leasebacks, net cash turned positive, and the active tender plus remaining repurchase authorization can support the stock if capital returns continue [#10-Q-2026-03-20] [#PR-2025-12-02].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +15.0.
What can break
Education spending remains pressured by a challenging funding environment for schools and districts.
Momentum
16
Value
52
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $40.00 · Bull $45.00 · Bear $33.00Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $42.00
Why
Momentum16 · Δ7d -1.1
Value52 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +15.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +15.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Education spending remains pressured by a challenging funding environment for schools and districts.
  • • Peer set is loose and sell-side coverage appears limited, reducing valuation confidence.
  • • Core operations are not cleanly accelerating: fiscal Q3 revenue declined 2%, operating loss worsened, Education remains pressured by school funding, and some earnings benefit came from real-estate monetization rather than recurring operations [#10-Q-2026-03-20] [#8-K-2026-03-19].

Catalyst clock

2026-04-20

Modified Dutch auction tender expires on April 20

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
16
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-12.0
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.0
Δ21d
+20.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 16.5 / Value 52.0 / Sentiment 76.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$786.66M
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
18.96M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
17.3
P/S (TTM)
0.48
P/FCF (TTM)
31.06
Rev YoY
-6.3%
EPS YoY
-23.8%
Gross Margin
+52.7%
Op Margin
+1.5%
Net Debt
$284.6M
Current Ratio
1.23
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data