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SCHL

ScholasticC
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Ahead-of-year-ago fall Book Fair bookings, a stronger publishing slate, Entertainment growth, and reaffirmed full-year guidance leave room for recovery after a weak seasonal quarter. Sidoti raised its fiscal Q2 2027 EPS estimate to $3.43 from $3.29 after the print, though that is one analyst's revision, not consensus.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.
What can break
Education sales remain exposed to school and district budget pressure; fiscal Q1 segment revenue fell $9.7 million. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-24]
Momentum
72
Value
52
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $36.00 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $27.00Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $38.50
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d +13.1
Value52 · Δ7d -0.8
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -1.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Education sales remain exposed to school and district budget pressure; fiscal Q1 segment revenue fell $9.7 million. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-24]
  • • Fiscal Q1 free cash use rose to $110.8 million, and net-debt improvement largely reflects prior sale-leaseback proceeds rather than current operating cash generation. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-24]
  • • Fiscal Q1 revenue and adjusted EPS missed the estimates reported by Investing.com, while Education revenue, adjusted operating loss, and cash use weakened.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Fall results test the reaffirmed fiscal 2027 outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
72
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.1
Δ21d
+48.3
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
45
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-14.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 72.0 / Value 51.7 / Sentiment 45.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$708.76M
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
18.41M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
16.1
P/S (TTM)
0.48
P/FCF (TTM)
31.06
Rev YoY
-6.3%
EPS YoY
-23.8%
Gross Margin
+52.7%
Op Margin
+1.5%
Net Debt
$284.6M
Current Ratio
1.23
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data