B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SBRA
Sabra Health Care REITCNasdaq / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Healthy managed senior housing NOI growth, solid reported coverage, attractive investment yields, and the Avamere rent reset support durable AFFO growth [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.3.
What can break
Avamere transition execution could affect the durability of the rent reset and related cash-flow expectations [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
Momentum
67
Value
61
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $22.70 · Bull $25.00 · Bear $18.50Analysis 2026-08-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $22.80
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d +5.1
Value61 · Δ7d -
Sentiment55 · Δ7d +7.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Avamere transition execution could affect the durability of the rent reset and related cash-flow expectations [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
- • Conditional investment awards may not close or may require additional equity issuance, increasing dilution risk [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
- • The pipeline is partly conditional and may require ATM proceeds, while forward-share dilution, 4.61x leverage, and Q2 GAAP net loss/negative FFO leave downside if execution or financing conditions deteriorate [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
Catalyst clock
2026-11-04
Q2 operating momentum with 2026 guidance reiterated
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
67
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+5.1
Δ21d
+10.4
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
55
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.3
Δ21d
-1.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 66.6 / Value 60.7 / Sentiment 55.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$22.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.19B
Beta
0.65
Shares Out
255.46M
P/E (TTM)
26.2
P/S (TTM)
6.39
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
63.15
Rev YoY
+25.2%
EPS YoY
-136.7%
Gross Margin
+37.4%
Op Margin
+18.8%
Net Debt
$2.48B
Current Ratio
2.05
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data