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SB

Safe BulkersD
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The company is still refreshing the fleet through sales of older vessels and targeted newbuild additions, which can improve fuel efficiency and operating mix over time. If dry-bulk rates hold and the balance sheet remains disciplined, the asset-rollover story can keep supporting cash generation.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.5.
What can break
Dry-bulk charter/TCE rates and vessel operating expenses can swing results quickly.
Momentum
94
Value
61
Sentiment
33
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.25 · Bull $7.80 · Bear $5.10Analysis 2026-05-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.71
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d +7.0
Value61 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment33 · Δ7d +9.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Dry-bulk charter/TCE rates and vessel operating expenses can swing results quickly.
  • • Fleet-renewal benefits depend on successful vessel dispositions, delivery timing, and financing discipline.
  • • I could not verify a Q1 2026 earnings release, 8-K, or IR presentation in the primary sources checked, so there is no confirmed earnings surprise or guidance signal yet.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-20

May 19 vessel-sale filing monetizes older tonnage

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
94
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.0
Δ21d
+8.0
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
33
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.5
Δ21d
-1.8
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 94.3 / Value 61.1 / Sentiment 32.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-19. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$824.85M
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
101.83M
P/E (TTM)
13.6
P/S (TTM)
1.81
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+33.0%
EPS YoY
-11327.6%
Gross Margin
+44.2%
Op Margin
+33.3%
Net Debt
$382.18M
Current Ratio
0.90
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data