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SARO

StandardAeroB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Commercial aerospace demand, productivity and improved contract economics could sustain the Q2 margin gains and support delivery of raised FY2026 guidance. The F100-220 award adds scope, but no disclosed economics justify a quantified earnings uplift.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.4.
What can break
Component Repair Services adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 26.3% from 29.0% in Q2 because of negative mix. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
25
Value
59
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $24.00 · Bull $31.00 · Bear $17.00Analysis 2026-10-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $33.15
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d +9.4
Value59 · Δ7d -0.7
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -5.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Component Repair Services adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 26.3% from 29.0% in Q2 because of negative mix. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Input delays weighed on certain military-platform revenue; supply availability could impair execution. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Q2 component-repair margin fell on negative mix, while military-platform input delays and LEAP/CFM56 ramp costs could constrain conversion of demand into earnings.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Delivery against raised FY2026 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.4
Δ21d
+11.0
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-1.9
Sentiment
66
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.4
Δ21d
-16.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 24.5 / Value 59.3 / Sentiment 65.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$7.43B
Beta
-
Shares Out
330.92M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
26.6
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
34.31
Rev YoY
+4.6%
EPS YoY
+44.5%
Gross Margin
+13.5%
Op Margin
+9.8%
Net Debt
$2.16B
Current Ratio
2.13
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data