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SARO

StandardAeroA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The core operating case improved after Q2: commercial aerospace and business aviation demand remained positive, adjusted EBITDA grew 12.3%, margin expanded to 14.4%, LEAP and CFM56 DFW became profitable, and FY26 revenue guidance was raised [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.9.
What can break
Component Repair Services margin pressure and military-platform input delays could offset engine-services improvement [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
Momentum
13
Value
58
Sentiment
86
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $29.00 · Bull $35.00 · Bear $20.00Analysis 2026-08-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $35.33
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d -8.8
Value58 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment86 · Δ7d +5.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Component Repair Services margin pressure and military-platform input delays could offset engine-services improvement [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
  • • LEAP and CFM56 profitability must persist as the programs continue ramping [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
  • • The improvement is not uniform: military-related revenue declined, Component Repair Services profitability weakened on negative mix and input delays, and the planned CEO transition plus repeated CEO stock sales may limit near-term confidence [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-10] [#IR-2026-06-02].

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Q2 execution and raised FY26 guidance support a rerating case

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
13
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.8
Δ21d
-43.3
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+5.6
Sentiment
86
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.9
Δ21d
+12.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 13.1 / Value 57.8 / Sentiment 86.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.06B
Beta
-
Shares Out
330.92M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
32.4
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
41.88
Rev YoY
+4.6%
EPS YoY
+44.5%
Gross Margin
+13.5%
Op Margin
+9.8%
Net Debt
$2.16B
Current Ratio
2.13
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data