B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$155.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SAIC
Science Applications InternationalBNasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 organic growth and higher fiscal 2027 guidance support the possibility of sustained contract ramp-ups. A Zacks recap in the packet reported adjusted EPS of $3.01 versus its $2.25 consensus estimate, but the more important forward test is bookings conversion.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.
What can break
Bookings below revenue could erode backlog and growth visibility if the pattern persists. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-31]
Momentum
79
Value
60
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $140.00 · Bull $155.00 · Bear $112.00Analysis 2026-10-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $132.56
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d -4.9
Value60 · Δ7d -1.3
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -11.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Bookings below revenue could erode backlog and growth visibility if the pattern persists. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-31]
- • Free cash flow declined 13% year over year in Q2 despite higher operating cash flow. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-31]
- • Quarterly book-to-bill of 0.6 and trailing-12-month book-to-bill of 0.8 weaken visibility despite the large backlog.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-07
CFO transition takes effect December 7
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
79
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-4.9
Δ21d
-6.7
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-2.5
Sentiment
48
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.8
Δ21d
-19.4
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 79.3 / Value 59.6 / Sentiment 48.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-14. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$6.22B
Beta
0.28
Shares Out
41.9M
P/E (TTM)
13.7
P/S (TTM)
0.66
P/FCF (TTM)
13.59
Rev YoY
+1.5%
EPS YoY
+83.7%
Gross Margin
+12.5%
Op Margin
+7.8%
Net Debt
$2.52B
Current Ratio
1.16
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data