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SAIC

Science Applications InternationalB
Nasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 beat, higher FY27 guidance, 5% organic growth, strong on-contract growth, major intel-space awards, and more than 90% recompete win rate improve confidence in execution. ORBIT adds a potential longer-term margin lever.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.5.
What can break
Net leverage was approximately 3.0x, leaving execution and capital-allocation flexibility important.
Momentum
74
Value
63
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $133.00 · Bull $145.00 · Bear $112.00Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $134.11
Why
Momentum74 · Δ7d +2.8
Value63 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment68 · Δ7d +11.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Net leverage was approximately 3.0x, leaving execution and capital-allocation flexibility important.
  • • Post-earnings analyst target, rating, and estimate revisions are not available in the packet.
  • • The quarter's 1% organic contribution from unplanned materials revenue is not expected to repeat; management expects a roughly 350-basis-point RITS headwind in the second half, margins to step down to the high-9% range, and procurement delays remain visible.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-03

Q2 beat and raised FY27 outlook support near-term sentiment

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
74
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.8
Δ21d
-6.9
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.5
Δ21d
+16.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 74.0 / Value 63.2 / Sentiment 68.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$133.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.26B
Beta
0.28
Shares Out
42.28M
P/E (TTM)
13.7
P/S (TTM)
0.66
P/FCF (TTM)
13.59
Rev YoY
+1.5%
EPS YoY
+83.7%
Gross Margin
+12.5%
Op Margin
+7.8%
Net Debt
$2.52B
Current Ratio
1.16
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data