B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SAH
Sonic AutomotiveCNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record revenue and gross profit, strong EchoPark used-vehicle volume, Powersports expansion, substantial liquidity and raised new-vehicle GPU guidance support a constructive medium-term setup.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.3.
What can break
Adjusted earnings declined despite record revenue and gross profit.
Momentum
25
Value
49
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $96.00 · Bull $105.00 · Bear $76.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $98.60
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d +13.9
Value49 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment70 · Δ7d +6.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted earnings declined despite record revenue and gross profit.
- • Consumer affordability, inventory execution and disciplined expansion could pressure margins or cash flow.
- • Adjusted net income fell 23% year over year, EchoPark adjusted EBITDA fell 15%, and vehicle gross-profit-per-unit pressure indicates that volume growth may require margin sacrifice.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-02
EchoPark footprint expansion
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.9
Δ21d
+7.6
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-13.0
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.3
Δ21d
+2.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 24.9 / Value 49.3 / Sentiment 69.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$96.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.54B
Beta
0.94
Shares Out
31.61M
P/E (TTM)
17.1
P/S (TTM)
0.14
P/FCF (TTM)
5.54
Rev YoY
+7.6%
EPS YoY
-233.7%
Gross Margin
+14.7%
Op Margin
+3.3%
Net Debt
$4.22B
Current Ratio
1.01
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data