B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SAH
Sonic AutomotiveBNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record revenue and gross profit, strong EchoPark used-vehicle volume, Powersports expansion, substantial liquidity and raised new-vehicle GPU guidance support a constructive medium-term setup.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Adjusted earnings declined despite record revenue and gross profit.
Momentum
17
Value
50
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $96.00 · Bull $105.00 · Bear $76.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $86.50
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d +2.3
Value50 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment79 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted earnings declined despite record revenue and gross profit.
- • Consumer affordability, inventory execution and disciplined expansion could pressure margins or cash flow.
- • Adjusted net income fell 23% year over year, EchoPark adjusted EBITDA fell 15%, and vehicle gross-profit-per-unit pressure indicates that volume growth may require margin sacrifice.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-29 · BMO
EchoPark footprint expansion
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
17
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
+2.3
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
79
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 16.8 / Value 50.4 / Sentiment 78.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$96.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.94B
Beta
0.94
Shares Out
31.61M
P/E (TTM)
17.1
P/S (TTM)
0.14
P/FCF (TTM)
5.54
Rev YoY
+7.6%
EPS YoY
-233.7%
Gross Margin
+14.7%
Op Margin
+3.3%
Net Debt
$4.22B
Current Ratio
1.01
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data