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SentinelOneD
NYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that SentinelOne is showing real operating leverage: revenue rose 21% y/y, ARR grew 23% y/y, non-GAAP operating margin reached 4%, and management raised FY27 operating income guidance. The company also highlighted record net new ARR and a mix shift toward emerging solutions, while post-print analyst calls from BofA and Jefferies leaned constructive.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Q2 revenue guidance of $289 million-$291 million trails the $292 million Street view cited in Reuters coverage, leaving little room for a follow-through miss.
Momentum
84
Value
40
Sentiment
38
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $20.38 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $14.50Analysis 2026-05-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $24.95
Why
Momentum84 · Δ7d +0.8
Value40 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment38 · Δ7d -10.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Q2 revenue guidance of $289 million-$291 million trails the $292 million Street view cited in Reuters coverage, leaving little room for a follow-through miss.
  • • The 10-K continues to flag intense competition and the need to keep expanding ARR to support the business model. [#10-K-2026-03-19]
  • • The bear case is that the market is focusing on the near term: Q2 revenue guidance came in below Street expectations, the company is taking an 8% workforce reduction and a roughly $25 million restructuring charge, and the stock sold off sharply after the print.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-29

Q1 FY27 showed faster growth and better operating leverage

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
84
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+1.1
Value
40
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
38
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.0
Δ21d
-0.5
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 83.7 / Value 39.7 / Sentiment 37.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$20.38
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$8.35B
Beta
0.77
Shares Out
348.05M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-17.6
P/S (TTM)
5.27
P/FCF (TTM)
111.52
Rev YoY
+20.8%
EPS YoY
-64.4%
Gross Margin
+73.0%
Op Margin
-28.6%
Net Debt
-$636.29M
Current Ratio
1.33
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data