B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
S
SentinelOneCNYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull case is that SentinelOne is showing real operating leverage: revenue rose 21% y/y, ARR grew 23% y/y, non-GAAP operating margin reached 4%, and management raised FY27 operating income guidance. The company also highlighted record net new ARR and a mix shift toward emerging solutions, while post-print analyst calls from BofA and Jefferies leaned constructive.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.2.
What can break
Q2 revenue guidance of $289 million-$291 million trails the $292 million Street view cited in Reuters coverage, leaving little room for a follow-through miss.
Momentum
73
Value
40
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $20.38 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $14.50Analysis 2026-05-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $24.45
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d -15.3
Value40 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +4.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Q2 revenue guidance of $289 million-$291 million trails the $292 million Street view cited in Reuters coverage, leaving little room for a follow-through miss.
- • The 10-K continues to flag intense competition and the need to keep expanding ARR to support the business model. [#10-K-2026-03-19]
- • The bear case is that the market is focusing on the near term: Q2 revenue guidance came in below Street expectations, the company is taking an 8% workforce reduction and a roughly $25 million restructuring charge, and the stock sold off sharply after the print.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-29
Q1 FY27 showed faster growth and better operating leverage
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
73
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.3
Δ21d
-19.8
Value
40
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.2
Δ21d
+10.6
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 72.7 / Value 39.9 / Sentiment 63.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$20.38
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.48B
Beta
0.77
Shares Out
342.8M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-16.0
P/S (TTM)
5.27
P/FCF (TTM)
111.52
Rev YoY
+20.8%
EPS YoY
-64.4%
Gross Margin
+73.0%
Op Margin
-28.6%
Net Debt
-$636.29M
Current Ratio
1.33
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data