B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RYN
RayonierCNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The enlarged post-PotlatchDeltic platform is producing materially higher reported EBITDA. Management also cited integration progress, stronger lumber realizations, incremental timber harvest volumes, and Real Estate EBITDA above prior quarterly guidance.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.9.
What can break
Analyst target count, options data, short interest, and social coverage are unavailable, limiting confidence in the valuation and sentiment signals.
Momentum
38
Value
60
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $24.50 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $18.50Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $26.00
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d -2.3
Value60 · Δ7d -
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +9.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst target count, options data, short interest, and social coverage are unavailable, limiting confidence in the valuation and sentiment signals.
- • Debt of $1.86 billion versus $411.8 million of cash leaves sensitivity to refinancing costs and interest rates. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
- • Debt remained $1.86 billion against $411.8 million of cash, and Q2 included $10.2 million of merger costs plus $2.3 million of casualty-related timber write-offs.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-22
Post-earnings digestion may remain range-bound
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
38
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
-16.7
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.9
Δ21d
+4.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 38.1 / Value 60.4 / Sentiment 63.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$24.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.41B
Beta
1.00
Shares Out
297.57M
P/E (TTM)
9.3
P/S (TTM)
3.28
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-105.52
Rev YoY
+272.1%
EPS YoY
+134.9%
Gross Margin
+24.2%
Op Margin
+14.9%
Net Debt
$217.26M
Current Ratio
3.56
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data