RXO

RXOD

NYSE / Transportation

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Bull case assumes successful margin recovery, stronger freight demand, and positive re-rating from improved contract economics and multiple expansion; under this scenario RXO moves toward high-end analyst outputs and industrial peers, consistent with a 30.00 target within a 12-month horizon.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

What can break

Execution issues in scaling technology/operations

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $16.00 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $11.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $25.18

Why

Momentum93 · Δ7d +0.3

Value37 · Δ7d -0.3

Sentiment8 · Δ7d -8.5

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+0.3

Δ21d

-1.0

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.3

Δ21d

-0.2

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-8.5

Δ21d

-6.1

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 93.1 / Value 36.9 / Sentiment 7.6

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$4.83B

Beta

Shares Out

164.92M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-49.3

P/S (TTM)

0.37

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-330.96

Rev YoY

-0.6%

EPS YoY

+15.4%

Gross Margin

+17.4%

Op Margin

-1.0%

Net Debt

$652M

Current Ratio

1.27

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology