B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RVLV
Revolve GroupBNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 delivered broad growth, active customers accelerated to 11% year over year, July sales grew approximately 18%, and the company remained debt free. The Q2 print supports a constructive operating trend, with additional upside if owned-brand, physical-retail, and beauty initiatives generate durable profitable growth.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.2.
What can break
Co-CEOs reported open-market sales in April 2026; this is an insider-activity signal only and not direct evidence of operating deterioration. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-04-29]
Momentum
29
Value
49
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $30.85 · Bull $34.00 · Bear $21.50Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $30.85
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d -6.9
Value49 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +2.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Co-CEOs reported open-market sales in April 2026; this is an insider-activity signal only and not direct evidence of operating deterioration. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-04-29]
- • Consumer demand, tariffs, inflation, supply-chain disruption, returns, and competitive pressure remain explicit company risks. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
- • The quarter benefited from $5.6M of tariff refunds, while Q2 operating cash flow and free cash flow were negative, inventory increased 25%, and full-year marketing and G&A outlooks rose.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-05
Q2 earnings showed broad double-digit growth
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
29
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.9
Δ21d
-19.0
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.3
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.2
Δ21d
+0.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 29.3 / Value 49.5 / Sentiment 75.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$30.85
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$21.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.64B
Beta
1.80
Shares Out
71.09M
P/E (TTM)
39.4
P/S (TTM)
1.81
P/FCF (TTM)
36.37
Rev YoY
+12.4%
EPS YoY
+82.4%
Gross Margin
+54.3%
Op Margin
+6.3%
Net Debt
-$270.74M
Current Ratio
2.48
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data