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RUM

RUM GroupC
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The strongest bull argument is that Rumble still has meaningful balance-sheet support, explicit Tether monetization backing, and a live Northern Data transaction that could accelerate its cloud and AI narrative beyond the core video platform [#8-K-2026-03-05] [#PR-2026-04-13].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.7.
What can break
As of May 4, 2026, a Q1 2026 earnings release, shareholder letter, or new earnings 8-K was not confirmed from primary company channels checked, leaving a material near-term information gap.
Momentum
98
Value
35
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.50 · Bull $10.00 · Bear $4.50Analysis 2026-05-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $22.00
Why
Momentum98 · Δ7d -0.0
Value35 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +6.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • As of May 4, 2026, a Q1 2026 earnings release, shareholder letter, or new earnings 8-K was not confirmed from primary company channels checked, leaving a material near-term information gap.
  • • Northern Data transaction completion, integration, and AI infrastructure execution remain meaningful strategic and execution risks [#10-K-2026-03-05] [#PR-2026-04-13].
  • • The bear case is that current-quarter visibility is weak: as of May 4, 2026, no Q1 2026 earnings release or new 8-K was located on the SEC submissions feed or Rumble IR quarterly-results page, while the last reported quarter still showed a $16.0 million adjusted EBITDA loss and press coverage flagged a Q4 earnings miss.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-09

Northern Data exchange offer reaches May 9 deadline

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
98
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+13.7
Value
35
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
59
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.7
Δ21d
-1.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 98.3 / Value 34.7 / Sentiment 58.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.09B
Beta
0.70
Shares Out
340.09M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-37.4
P/S (TTM)
20.94
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-21.51
Rev YoY
+60.9%
EPS YoY
+140.1%
Gross Margin
-15.9%
Op Margin
-101.0%
Net Debt
-$236M
Current Ratio
2.12
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data