RSKD
RiskifiedCNYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that Q1 showed real operating leverage: revenue grew, gross margin improved to 52%, adjusted EBITDA expanded sharply, free cash flow improved, and the company raised the low end or midpoint of key 2026 targets while ending Q1 with about $276 million of cash, deposits, and investments and no debt. A May 14 secondary report said DA Davidson reiterated Buy, raised 2026 and 2027 estimates, and kept a $6 price target, which is directionally supportive but still only a thin revision signal.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Management said 2026 guidance still depends on the timing of new merchant go-lives and the macro environment, leaving room for quarterly lumpiness even after the Q1 raise. [#6K-2026-05-13]
Momentum
76
Value
45
Sentiment
42
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $5.25 · Bull $6.25 · Bear $3.60
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $5.65
Why
Momentum76 · Δ7d -0.2
Value45 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment42 · Δ7d -5.0
So what
Balanced signals. Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
76
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+7.3
Value
45
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
42
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.0
Δ21d
-4.8
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 75.8 / Value 45.2 / Sentiment 41.8
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$699.79M
Beta
1.34
Shares Out
133.8M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-29.9
P/S (TTM)
2.19
P/FCF (TTM)
22.56
Rev YoY
+7.1%
EPS YoY
-65.1%
Gross Margin
+51.7%
Op Margin
-12.5%
Net Debt
-$272.56M
Current Ratio
5.55
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

