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RelianceC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record tons sold, strong pricing, a Q2 EPS beat above the company’s own range, and Q3 EPS guidance of $6.40-$6.60 support continued earnings momentum. The border-wall project adds a visible near-term volume and profit contribution.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.4.
What can break
A CFO open-market sale totaling 3,426 shares is recorded on Form 4 [#SEC-FORM4-2026-04-28]; this is a sentiment consideration only, not operating evidence.
Momentum
37
Value
50
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $420.00 · Bull $455.00 · Bear $350.00Analysis 2026-07-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $407.63
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d -14.8
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +4.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A CFO open-market sale totaling 3,426 shares is recorded on Form 4 [#SEC-FORM4-2026-04-28]; this is a sentiment consideration only, not operating evidence.
  • • Border-wall earnings contribution depends on shipment execution, metal supply and customer inventory pulls; the project may create concentration and timing risk.
  • • Q3 volumes excluding the border-wall project are expected to decline sequentially due to seasonality.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-25

2026-07-22 Q2 earnings beat and Q3 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
37
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.8
Δ21d
-31.9
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
67
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.4
Δ21d
+0.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 36.9 / Value 50.3 / Sentiment 66.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$455.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$420.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$350.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$21.85B
Beta
0.91
Shares Out
51.05M
P/E (TTM)
21.7
P/S (TTM)
1.11
P/FCF (TTM)
37.86
Rev YoY
+26.5%
EPS YoY
+42.3%
Gross Margin
+26.4%
Op Margin
+7.9%
Net Debt
$1.52B
Current Ratio
4.30
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data