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RRX

Regal RexnordB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Order momentum, particularly in AMC, improving end markets, adjusted EBITDA growth, and a maintained 2026 adjusted EPS midpoint support a constructive medium-term setup. Net leverage is expected to fall below 3.0x in the second half.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
Net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 3.06x at Q2-end, leaving execution and cash-flow sensitivity despite expected improvement below 3.0x. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Momentum
12
Value
60
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $174.00 · Bull $195.00 · Bear $140.00Analysis 2026-09-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $249.00
Why
Momentum12 · Δ7d +0.7
Value60 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d -0.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 3.06x at Q2-end, leaving execution and cash-flow sensitivity despite expected improvement below 3.0x. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • Post-earnings market reaction was negative, while verified analyst revisions and target changes are unavailable. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-17]
  • • The quarter benefited from a $32 million tariff refund, while management disclosed delayed productivity gains, slower price realization than inflation, unfavorable mix, and headwinds in residential HVAC, pool, mining, and agriculture.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 results showed order and adjusted-EPS momentum but mixed earnings quality

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
12
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+1.3
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-2.7
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-7.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 11.7 / Value 60.4 / Sentiment 72.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$174.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$11.62B
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
66.59M
P/E (TTM)
38.5
P/S (TTM)
1.68
P/FCF (TTM)
11.71
Rev YoY
+4.2%
EPS YoY
+46.3%
Gross Margin
+38.0%
Op Margin
+12.1%
Net Debt
$4.42B
Current Ratio
2.28
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data