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RRBI

Red River BancsharesC
Nasdaq / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
RRBI exits 2025 with record earnings, improving NIM, solid capital return actions, and visible branch investment, so steady execution could keep downside contained even without a major rerating.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.8.
What can break
Credit costs rise from currently low levels, especially if Louisiana operating conditions soften.
Momentum
68
Value
56
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $96.00 · Bull $107.00 · Bear $82.00Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $108.00
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d +3.3
Value56 · Δ7d +5.6
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +3.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Credit costs rise from currently low levels, especially if Louisiana operating conditions soften.
  • • Expansion projects add cost before producing measurable loan or deposit growth.
  • • The current setup still looks like a monitoring story: forward visibility is limited, some Q4 deposit strength was seasonal, and any slippage in margin, deposit costs, or credit metrics could pressure a lightly covered bank stock.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

Q1 2026 results are the next proof point on whether Q4 strength was durable

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
68
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.3
Δ21d
+6.4
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
+5.6
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.8
Δ21d
-2.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 67.9 / Value 56.1 / Sentiment 56.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$107.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$96.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$674.21M
Beta
0.51
Shares Out
6.58M
P/E (TTM)
12.0
P/S (TTM)
4.04
P/FCF (TTM)
15.58
Rev YoY
+6.9%
EPS YoY
+18.0%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+32.6%
Net Debt
-$24.14M
Current Ratio
0.10
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data