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ROST

Ross StoresC
Nasdaq / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 result materially exceeded guidance, with traffic-driven 10% comps, new-customer acquisition, and higher engagement from existing customers. Raised second-half guidance, 115 planned openings, and the company’s stated opportunity to gain share support a positive earnings-revision case.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Analyst-target coverage is incomplete, and the available peer set lacks direct off-price operating comparators.
Momentum
59
Value
49
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $260.00 · Bull $290.00 · Bear $210.00Analysis 2026-08-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $275.47
Why
Momentum59 · Δ7d -10.3
Value49 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +6.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst-target coverage is incomplete, and the available peer set lacks direct off-price operating comparators.
  • • Approximately $0.60 of Q2 EPS benefited from IEEPA tariff refunds, creating an earnings-quality and year-over-year normalization issue.
  • • The Q2 EPS result included approximately $0.60 per share from IEEPA tariff refunds, while second-half comparable-sales guidance of 6%-7% in Q3 and 4%-5% in Q4 steps down from Q2.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-20

Q2 beat and raised FY2026 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
59
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.3
Δ21d
-9.8
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.9
Δ21d
+18.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 59.4 / Value 48.6 / Sentiment 63.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$290.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$260.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$210.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$75.47B
Beta
0.99
Shares Out
320.78M
P/E (TTM)
29.2
P/S (TTM)
2.74
P/FCF (TTM)
41.79
Rev YoY
+13.3%
EPS YoY
+70.1%
Gross Margin
+29.7%
Op Margin
+13.7%
Net Debt
$597M
Current Ratio
1.61
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data