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ROP

RoperA
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 beat, second FY2026 guidance increase, strong cash flow, buybacks, and accelerating AI product cadence support a constructive medium-term setup. Management reported solid retention and bookings, while early AI adopters are validating workflow solutions.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
AI launches and early-adopter traction have not yet been quantified as a material recurring-revenue inflection.
Momentum
64
Value
60
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $447.00 · Bull $480.00 · Bear $330.00Analysis 2026-07-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $448.77
Why
Momentum64 · Δ7d -1.0
Value60 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +8.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI launches and early-adopter traction have not yet been quantified as a material recurring-revenue inflection.
  • • Guidance excludes unannounced acquisitions, divestitures, and potential share repurchases, leaving estimates sensitive to capital-allocation timing. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]
  • • Valuation remains a constraint: Raymond James downgraded to Market Perform on fair-value concerns, while RBC noted near-term buybacks may slow as Roper rebuilds balance-sheet capacity for M&A.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-23

Q2 beat and raised FY2026 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
64
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
+20.2
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.5
Δ21d
+6.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 63.6 / Value 60.0 / Sentiment 77.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$480.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$447.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$330.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$38.54B
Beta
0.93
Shares Out
98.9M
P/E (TTM)
29.8
P/S (TTM)
6.02
P/FCF (TTM)
22.57
Rev YoY
+8.5%
EPS YoY
+232.8%
Gross Margin
+69.5%
Op Margin
+28.0%
Net Debt
$9.24B
Current Ratio
0.55
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data