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ROK

Rockwell AutomationC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained industrial capex recovery plus continued software/connected-services mix expansion could drive durable margin expansion and multiple re-rating over 12–18 months.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.7.
What can break
A cyclical decline in industrial capital spending could sharply reduce orders and extend backlog conversion times, pressuring revenue and valuation multiples [#SERP-1][#SERP-2].
Momentum
38
Value
49
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $427.66 · Bull $495.00 · Bear $330.00Analysis 2026-02-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $484.61
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d +1.8
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +2.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A cyclical decline in industrial capital spending could sharply reduce orders and extend backlog conversion times, pressuring revenue and valuation multiples [#SERP-1][#SERP-2].
  • • Foreign-exchange volatility and execution risks in international markets could amplify quarter-to-quarter volatility and complicate guidance [#SERP-1].
  • • A sharper-than-expected slowdown in factory spending, competitive pricing pressure, or supply-chain strain could compress margins and reduce backlog conversion, weighing on revenue and multiples.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-08

Q2 2026 earnings release (est.)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
38
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.8
Δ21d
+6.8
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.7
Δ21d
+3.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 37.6 / Value 49.0 / Sentiment 62.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$495.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$427.66
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$330.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$49.37B
Beta
1.52
Shares Out
111.05M
P/E (TTM)
52.8
P/S (TTM)
5.45
P/FCF (TTM)
59.24
Rev YoY
+7.9%
EPS YoY
+40.2%
Gross Margin
+49.2%
Op Margin
+14.5%
Net Debt
$3.18B
Current Ratio
1.08
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data