B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$127.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
ROG
RogersDNYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Market-share gains in RF and advanced-packaging laminates plus margin recovery drive upside toward higher analyst targets and multiple expansion.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
Cyclicality of electronics end markets reducing orders
Momentum
48
Value
54
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $106.47 · Bull $127.00 · Bear $85.00Analysis 2026-02-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $173.33
Why
Momentum48 · Δ7d +9.8
Value54 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment41 · Δ7d -0.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclicality of electronics end markets reducing orders
- • Execution risk on margin-restoration initiatives
- • Prolonged end-market weakness, margin pressure from input-cost inflation, or loss of a major customer pushes revenue and margins lower and valuation toward the low analyst band.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-20
Next quarterly earnings release (company-reporting event)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
48
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.8
Δ21d
+19.5
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.2
Sentiment
41
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+7.7
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 48.4 / Value 54.3 / Sentiment 40.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-19. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$106.47
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$85.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.61B
Beta
0.41
Shares Out
17.87M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-43.0
P/S (TTM)
2.10
P/FCF (TTM)
35.60
Rev YoY
+6.9%
EPS YoY
-118.9%
Gross Margin
+32.4%
Op Margin
+9.0%
Net Debt
-$166.4M
Current Ratio
3.99
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data