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Construction PartnersA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 growth, raised FY2026 guidance and a record backlog support a constructive execution case. The Florida acquisition adds local asphalt capacity, though no earnings contribution was quantified [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07] [#8-K-2026-09-21].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
What can break
Energy-cost inflation, adverse weather and project execution could compress margins despite backlog growth [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07].
Momentum
17
Value
58
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $100.00 · Bull $120.00 · Bear $70.00Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $138.67
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d +2.5
Value58 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +0.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Energy-cost inflation, adverse weather and project execution could compress margins despite backlog growth [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07].
  • • Public-infrastructure funding and project timing could affect backlog conversion.
  • • Energy-cost inflation and unusually wet weather affected Q3 operations.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Raised FY2026 outlook faces a results test

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
17
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.5
Δ21d
-1.2
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
74
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+0.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 17.4 / Value 58.1 / Sentiment 73.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$4.71B
Beta
0.87
Shares Out
56.76M
P/E (TTM)
62.2
P/S (TTM)
2.29
P/FCF (TTM)
41.92
Rev YoY
+28.2%
EPS YoY
+33.7%
Gross Margin
+15.8%
Op Margin
+8.8%
Net Debt
$1.53B
Current Ratio
1.57
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data