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Construction PartnersA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong Q3 execution, record backlog, raised FY26 outlook, and Ellsworth's Oklahoma and data-center exposure support continued growth [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.2.
What can break
Analyst coverage, consensus revisions, and market-reaction data are unavailable in the packet.
Momentum
49
Value
55
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $120.00 · Bull $140.00 · Bear $88.00Analysis 2026-08-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $143.83
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d -3.4
Value55 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment85 · Δ7d +11.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst coverage, consensus revisions, and market-reaction data are unavailable in the packet.
  • • Ellsworth integration and increased data-center exposure add execution risk.
  • • The stock may already discount much of the operating momentum.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-23

Backlog conversion and execution

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
49
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-3.4
Δ21d
-18.6
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
85
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.2
Δ21d
+11.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 49.0 / Value 55.3 / Sentiment 84.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.84B
Beta
0.87
Shares Out
56.76M
P/E (TTM)
62.2
P/S (TTM)
2.29
P/FCF (TTM)
41.92
Rev YoY
+28.2%
EPS YoY
+33.7%
Gross Margin
+15.8%
Op Margin
+8.8%
Net Debt
$1.53B
Current Ratio
1.57
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data