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RNR

RenaissanceReB
NYSE / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 result supports a constructive thesis: all three profit drivers contributed, operating ROE was 20.1%, book value per share rose to $264.77, and capital returns remained substantial. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27 · AMC.
What can break
Analyst target count and comprehensive estimate-revision data remain unavailable in the deterministic packet, despite selected positive post-print target revisions.
Momentum
75
Value
63
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $345.00 · Bull $380.00 · Bear $275.00Analysis 2026-07-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-27 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $341.19
Why
Momentum75 · Δ7d -3.5
Value63 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +0.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target count and comprehensive estimate-revision data remain unavailable in the deterministic packet, despite selected positive post-print target revisions.
  • • Catastrophe losses and favorable prior-year development can normalize or reverse; Q2 included $199.4M of favorable prior-year development and $58.0M of adverse Casualty and Specialty development. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
  • • The earnings quality is partly exposed to low catastrophe losses and favorable prior-year development.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-27 · AMC

Q2 earnings beat with broad operating strength

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
75
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.5
Δ21d
-0.6
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
-18.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 74.9 / Value 62.7 / Sentiment 53.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$380.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$345.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$275.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$14.65B
Beta
0.24
Shares Out
41.55M
P/E (TTM)
7.7
P/S (TTM)
1.04
P/FCF (TTM)
3.30
Rev YoY
-13.7%
EPS YoY
-10.0%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+40.4%
Net Debt
$745.82M
Current Ratio
0.72
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data