B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RMR
RMR GroupBNasdaq / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 showed sequential improvement in distributable earnings, management-service revenue and adjusted EBITDA. The large fee-earning platform, OPI's renewed management relationship, Greenwich JV fees and potential incentive-fee generation could support earnings durability and a modest rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Incentive fees and client asset values can fluctuate materially with REIT performance and capital-market conditions.
Momentum
59
Value
65
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $22.00 · Bear $14.50Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $23.25
Why
Momentum59 · Δ7d -20.4
Value65 · Δ7d -
Sentiment52 · Δ7d +3.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Incentive fees and client asset values can fluctuate materially with REIT performance and capital-market conditions.
- • OPI management agreements are terminable without penalty after their initial two years, creating client-retention and fee-base risk.
- • The quarter included a $19.1 million OPI-related impairment and negative operating income, while adjusted EBITDA margin fell year over year.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-05
Q3 earnings improved distributable earnings but exposed quality issues
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
59
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-20.4
Δ21d
-21.9
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
52
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.4
Δ21d
-7.7
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 59.2 / Value 65.0 / Sentiment 51.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$560.76M
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
17.08M
P/E (TTM)
14.8
P/S (TTM)
0.70
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
8.87
Rev YoY
-0.8%
EPS YoY
-25.7%
Gross Margin
+19.4%
Op Margin
+10.3%
Net Debt
$141.74M
Current Ratio
1.40
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data