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RMR

RMR GroupC
Nasdaq / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 showed sequential improvement in distributable earnings, management-service revenue and adjusted EBITDA. The large fee-earning platform, OPI's renewed management relationship, Greenwich JV fees and potential incentive-fee generation could support earnings durability and a modest rerating.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.1.
What can break
Incentive fees and client asset values can fluctuate materially with REIT performance and capital-market conditions.
Momentum
65
Value
65
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $22.00 · Bear $14.50Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $20.50
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d +9.1
Value65 · Δ7d -
Sentiment47 · Δ7d +4.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Incentive fees and client asset values can fluctuate materially with REIT performance and capital-market conditions.
  • • OPI management agreements are terminable without penalty after their initial two years, creating client-retention and fee-base risk.
  • • The quarter included a $19.1 million OPI-related impairment and negative operating income, while adjusted EBITDA margin fell year over year.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q3 earnings improved distributable earnings but exposed quality issues

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
65
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.1
Δ21d
+6.3
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
47
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.1
Δ21d
+4.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 65.0 / Value 65.0 / Sentiment 47.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$653.8M
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
17.08M
P/E (TTM)
14.8
P/S (TTM)
0.70
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
10.34
Rev YoY
-0.8%
EPS YoY
-25.7%
Gross Margin
+19.4%
Op Margin
+10.3%
Net Debt
$141.74M
Current Ratio
1.40
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data