B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$12.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
RLJ
RLJ Lodging TrustDNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: sustained leisure and corporate travel recovery, higher ADRs and selective asset sales lift FFO and NAV, supporting upside toward the analyst high near $12.60.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Decline in occupancy or ADRs
Momentum
91
Value
59
Sentiment
32
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.43 · Bull $12.60 · Bear $6.00Analysis 2026-02-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $11.77
Why
Momentum91 · Δ7d +3.7
Value59 · Δ7d -
Sentiment32 · Δ7d -0.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Decline in occupancy or ADRs
- • Dividend cut or slower-than-expected demand recovery
- • Bear case: weaker corporate travel, wider cap rates, or a dividend reduction compresses multiples toward analyst lows near $6.00; leverage amplifies downside.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-28
Quarterly FFO / earnings release
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
91
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.7
Δ21d
+17.6
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
32
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-10.4
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 90.6 / Value 59.4 / Sentiment 32.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-27. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$8.43
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.85B
Beta
1.12
Shares Out
152.38M
P/E (TTM)
157.0
P/S (TTM)
0.85
P/FCF (TTM)
82.63
Rev YoY
+5.5%
EPS YoY
+10.4%
Gross Margin
+13.2%
Op Margin
+9.5%
Net Debt
$1.87B
Current Ratio
1.68
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data