B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$480.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RL
Ralph LaurenANYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q1 result showed broad-based strength across regions and channels, strong full-price demand, margin expansion, a healthy balance sheet, and raised FY2027 guidance [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]. The dated July brand collaboration adds a company-specific assortment event, although its financial impact is unquantified [#IR-2026-07-28].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.7.
What can break
Analyst target and estimate coverage is incomplete in the packet.
Momentum
24
Value
49
Sentiment
89
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $405.00 · Bull $480.00 · Bear $315.00Analysis 2026-08-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $459.00
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d -8.1
Value49 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment89 · Δ7d +4.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst target and estimate coverage is incomplete in the packet.
- • Consumer demand, regional growth, AUR, and wholesale momentum could normalize.
- • The evidence does not include a verified analyst-revision set or detailed forward estimates.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-28
Artist-in-Residence collaboration launch
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
24
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.1
Δ21d
-12.9
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+1.3
Sentiment
89
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.7
Δ21d
+1.1
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 23.8 / Value 49.5 / Sentiment 89.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-26. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$405.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$315.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$22.58B
Beta
1.50
Shares Out
59.54M
P/E (TTM)
26.5
P/S (TTM)
2.87
P/FCF (TTM)
47.31
Rev YoY
+14.0%
EPS YoY
+21.3%
Gross Margin
+67.7%
Op Margin
+16.7%
Net Debt
$943M
Current Ratio
2.04
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data