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RGP

Resources ConnectionC
Nasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The best bull read is that RGP has already shown some cost and margin discipline: gross margin improved to 35.7% and SG&A dollars declined year over year, while management is simplifying the portfolio and investing in the On-Demand Talent and Consulting segments [#SEC-8K-2026-04-08]. If revenue stabilizes, the stock’s depressed level versus the packet’s median target could leave room for recovery.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +18.0.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA was negative in the latest reported quarter, so execution risk remains high if demand does not recover [#SEC-8K-2026-04-08].
Momentum
19
Value
33
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.10 · Bull $5.75 · Bear $2.75Analysis 2026-06-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $4.00
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d -25.6
Value33 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment69 · Δ7d +18.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +18.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Adjusted EBITDA was negative in the latest reported quarter, so execution risk remains high if demand does not recover [#SEC-8K-2026-04-08].
  • Another quarter of double-digit revenue or billable-hours decline would likely outweigh incremental cost savings [#SEC-8K-2026-04-08].
  • The bear read is that demand erosion remains the central fact pattern: revenue fell 16.6%, billable hours fell 16.3%, and adjusted EBITDA was negative in the latest reported quarter [#SEC-8K-2026-04-08].

Catalyst clock

2026-04-08

Q3 FY2026 results confirmed a demand reset even as margins and SG&A improved [#SEC-8K-2026-04-08]

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
19
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-25.6
Δ21d
-8.9
Value
33
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-23.8
Sentiment
69
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+18.0
Δ21d
+15.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 18.8 / Value 32.6 / Sentiment 68.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$4.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$2.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$145.01M
Beta
0.46
Shares Out
34.44M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-3.5
P/S (TTM)
0.32
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-15.51
Rev YoY
-23.8%
EPS YoY
-79.0%
Gross Margin
+36.4%
Op Margin
-6.3%
Net Debt
-$59.85M
Current Ratio
2.51
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data